Climate change is driven by greenhouse gas emissions; and forest loss and poor land management are responsible for up to twenty-five percent of annual global emissions—equal to the emissions from the entire global transportation sector. California is aggressively fighting climate change by reducing emissions across all sectors of its economy, but we live in a global society, and Climate Change does not stop at our borders. California Air Resources Board Chairwoman Mary Nichols argues that “without action to reduce emissions from the deforestation of tropical forests, we are missing one of the keys to mitigating climate change.”
Climate change is already affecting California. As the state looks to avoid the worst impacts on its people, economy, and natural systems, it will need to support efforts to reduce emissions, in California and outside our own borders
California is getting warmer. By 2050, California is likely to warm 2.7° F above 2000 averages, with summer temperatures rising the most. This means more frequent and extreme heat waves punishing central valley communities and at-risk people in our cities, challenging farmers, and taxing the state’s degraded energy infrastructure.
Weather patterns are changing, leading to increased water insecurity. The conditions behind the most recent drought have been linked to climate change and are more likely in the future; this will put added stress on a water system that is already over-allocated. One recent study indicates that by the year 2050 median California mountain snowpack present on April 1 could be one third less than in the past. The largest source of freshwater in the state, the sierra snowpack is responsible for filling many of the state’s water storage reservoirs. The California Department of Water Resources has made adapting to the new climate regime a key pillar of its updated Water Plan.
California’s coastline, and its 32 million citizens living in coastal counties, are threatened by rising sea levels. The sea level along California’s coast has risen by 7 inches in the past century, and is projected to increase by as much as 55 inches by the end of this century under certain climate change scenarios. This would put an estimated 460,000 people at risk during major coastal floods, and endanger critical energy, water and transportation infrastructure. To put this in perspective, the current 100-year flood event (an event predicted to occur once every hundred years) could, under the worst climate change scenarios, become an annual event by the year 2050.
Every year, Californians produce $44.7 billion in revenue from agricultural crops like strawberries, almonds and citrus. The agricultural sector is a pillar of the state’s economy, and it will face serious stresses due to climate change. Increased drought and hotter temperatures will stress crops, limit what can be grown and when, and force farmers to change growing strategies or move locations.
Climate change is significantly increasing the state’s fire risk, through changes in temperature and snowmelt, as well as prolonged dry periods. Research has estimated that current warming trends will lead to a 58% – 128% increase in the number of fires by the year 2085. The area burned is expected to increase by between 57%-169% over that same period, depending on location. Wildfires threaten the state’s energy and transportation infrastructure, as well as communities, agriculture, and natural resources.
Climate change is rapidly altering the living conditions for California’s plants and animals, making adaptation difficult. This is exacerbated by the extent that land and aquatic systems are fractured by human development. One study shows that 83 percent of California 121 fish species are at high risk of extinction due to climate change, including the commercially valuable coho salmon and steelhead trout.
The state is one of the most biologically diverse places on earth, and those ecological systems are responsible for pollination, water management, soil health, and a host of other ecosystem services. They are also a key part of what makes the state such a wonderful place in which to live. California must do all within its power, where ever it can, to stop the emissions of carbon pollution that are causing climate change while it makes plans to respond to the risks already underway.
To read more about the impacts of climate change in California, read Our Changing Climate: Vulnerability and Adaptation to the Increasing Risks from climate change in California.
Tropical forests in the Amazon Basin, the Congo Basin, Southeast Asia and elsewhere help to drive the planet’s weather patterns by adding moisture to the atmosphere. As forestland disappears, the patterns change in ways that have ripple effects across the globe.
Researchers recently modeled the effects of total forest removal in the Amazon Basin, and found that such a scenario could lead to widespread regional climate change with effects seen in California.
“deforestation of the Amazon can act as a driver of regional climate change in the extratropics, including areas of the western United States that are agriculturally important.”
The report concluded there’s a possibility of the West Coast losing up to 20 percent of its rainfall and California seeing a 50 percent decrease in snowfall, both issues could heavily impact on the natural and human communities of the state. It would have significant affects on the state’s economy as well especially on the agriculture industry in what is the world’s eighth largest economy. While the model looked at an extreme case of deforestation, the study highlights the fact that changes in forest cover will have negative consequences on California’s agriculture and tourism industries.
If we can reduce our own impacts on tropical forest through sustainable purchasing, while working with other countries to help set them on a path towards zero deforestation, we can protect our own economy, improve the livelihoods and environments in other countries, and potentially triple the impact we are having on fighting climate change.
Californians have five key opportunities to help tropical forests:
To find out more about the actions that Californians can take, go to our California Action page.